Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2025 Chase Stadium

New Zealand

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colombia play New Zealand in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colombia averaged 1.81 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. New Zealand averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Colombia won 2, New Zealand won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 16, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Colombia and 1.00 for New Zealand. This points to a Colombia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Colombia

17%

Draws

31%

New Zealand

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Colombia picked up more points recently compared to New Zealand.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Colombia Clean Sheet 23%

New Zealand Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colombia	New Zealand
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	16	12
Draws	7	3
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	1.81	2.14
Goals Conceded	0.84	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 Friendly International

Colombia vs New Zealand

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Jun 20, 2003 FIFA Confederations Cup

Colombia vs New Zealand

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Puerta G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Carbonero J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

New Zealand Compare

Top Goalscorer Old B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 51 / 100

New Zealand 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colombia New Zealand

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colombia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colombia attacking → ← attacking New Zealand

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

New Zealand let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Colombia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

New Zealand lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 39

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13