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Stadium Background

Colombia vs Panama

South America South America

Copa América State Farm Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cordoba J.
Assist: Rodriguez J.
15' Event
Rodriguez J.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Diaz L.
Assist: Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

Colombia in this Copa América matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Colombia
6%
Draws
4%
Panama
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Panama haven't matched Colombia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Colombia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa América fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%
Panama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Panama
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Copa América
Colombia vs Panama
5:0
Jun 3, 2019 Friendly International
Colombia vs Panama
3:0
May 9, 2007 Friendly International
Panama vs Colombia
0:4
Jul 22, 2005 Gold Cup
Colombia vs Panama
2:3
Jul 6, 2005 Gold Cup
Colombia vs Panama
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordoba J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Panama Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 95 / 100
Panama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Panama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Colombia's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Panama has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Colombia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Panama
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Argentina2
Ecuador1
Venezuela1
Canada2
Uruguay1
Brazil0
Colombia5
Panama0
Semi-finals
Argentina2
Canada0
Uruguay0
Colombia1
Final
Argentina1
Colombia0
Canada2
Uruguay3