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Colombia W vs Brazil W

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Sat, Aug 2, 2025
4 - 5
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Caicedo L.
Assist: Ramirez M.
32'
Bedoya L.
40'
Tarciane

AI Match Summary

The Copa América Women game between Colombia W and Brazil W finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brazil W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Colombia W
33%
Draws
40%
Brazil W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Brazil W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia W haven't matched Brazil W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Brazil W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 10%
Brazil W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia W Brazil W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 21
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 3
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Copa América Women
Colombia W vs Brazil W
4:5
Jul 26, 2025 Copa América Women
Brazil W vs Colombia W
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs Colombia W
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs Colombia W
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Gold Cup Women
Colombia W vs Brazil W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramirez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Brazil W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marta
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amanda Gutierres
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia W 26 / 100
Brazil W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia W Brazil W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Colombia W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Colombia W's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brazil W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia W VS Brazil W
1.13 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Argentina W0
Colombia W1
Brazil W5
Uruguay W1
Final
Colombia W4
Brazil W5
Argentina W3
Uruguay W2