Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colombia W vs Chile W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Caicedo L.
Assist: Restrepo M.
23'
Santos L.
27'
Cifuentes A.

AI Match Summary

Colombia W in this CONMEBOL Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Colombia W
15%
Draws
34%
Chile W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colombia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chile W have won more games recently than Colombia W.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Colombia W taking it.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 68%
Chile W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia W Chile W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Colombia W vs Chile W
2:0
Jul 21, 2022 Copa América Women
Colombia W vs Chile W
4:0
Oct 23, 2021 Friendly International Women
Colombia W vs Chile W
2:0
May 19, 2019 Friendly International Women
Chile W vs Colombia W
1:1
Apr 19, 2018 Copa América Women
Colombia W vs Chile W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chile W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia W 95 / 100
Chile W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia W Chile W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Chile W has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Colombia W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colombia W VS Chile W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia W

(Home)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
04 Aug
Venezuela W
2 : 3
Colombia W
02 Aug
Puerto Rico W
0 : 3
Colombia W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
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Chile W

(Away)
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
15 Apr
Colombia W
2 : 0
Chile W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
07 Mar
Paraguay W
0 : 1
Chile W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)