Sport Picks

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Colombo vs Red Star

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Rahman M.
67' Event
Rahman M.
69' Event
Zarwan Z.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2021 game between Colombo and Red Star finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Colombo
30%
Draws
23%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colombo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colombo come out ahead of Red Star on wins alone.
  • Colombo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Colombo Clean Sheet 68%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombo Red Star
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.41 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2021 Super League
Colombo vs Red Star
2:2
Nov 14, 2018 Super League
Red Star vs Colombo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarwan Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shazny A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahman M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombo 95 / 100
Red Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombo Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colombo scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Red Star has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Colombo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombo VS Red Star
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombo

(Home)
07 Aug
Colombo
0 : 0
Renown
03 Aug
Colombo
5 : 0
Ratnam SC
26 Jul
Colombo
3 : 0
New Young's SC
12 Jul
Colombo
0 : 0
Defenders FC
11 Jan
Colombo
2 : 3
Sea Hawks
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Red Star

(Away)
08 Aug
Red Star
3 : 3
New Young's SC
02 Aug
Red Star
2 : 0
Blue Star
29 Jul
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Red Star
20 Jul
Sea Hawks
1 : 0
Red Star
06 Jul
Java Lane
1 : 0
Red Star
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