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Colon vs Fenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Paz B.
27' Event
Gonzalez J.
50' Event
Cabrera M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. This leg finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Colon
20%
Draws
29%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colon lately — more wins on the board than Fenix.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Colon taking it.
  • Colon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fenix, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Colon Clean Sheet 14%
Fenix Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Fenix
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Colon
1:1
Sep 1, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Colon vs Fenix
3:3
Jun 13, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Fenix
1:1
Sep 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Colon
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Fenix
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintana R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Paz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 41 / 100
Fenix 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colon scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Fenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Colon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS Fenix
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

(Home)
16 Oct
Colon
3 : 0
Huracan FC
10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Colon
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 0
Colon
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
17 Oct
Fenix
0 : 1
Paysandu FC
11 Oct
Huracan FC
0 : 0
Fenix
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)