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Colon vs La Luz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Quintana R.
(Penalty)
31'
Olivera A.
42' Event
Fernandez F.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Colon and La Luz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Colon
20%
Draws
47%
La Luz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colon come out ahead of La Luz on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Colon Clean Sheet 17%
La Luz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon La Luz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.2 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs La Luz
2:1
May 9, 2026 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Colon
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Colon
0:1
May 17, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs La Luz
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs La Luz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

La Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 36 / 100
La Luz 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon La Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Luz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Colon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

La Luz let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS La Luz
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

(Home)
16 Oct
Colon
3 : 0
Huracan FC
10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Colon
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 0
Colon
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
Page 1 of 6

La Luz

(Away)
17 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
La Luz
11 Oct
La Luz
1 : 1
Plaza Colonia
04 Oct
La Luz
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 23 12 5 6 31:22 41
2 Plaza Colonia 23 10 6 7 29:23 36
3 Rentistas 23 10 6 7 30:25 36
4 Colon 23 10 6 7 26:24 36
5 River Plate Montevideo 23 9 6 8 35:29 33
6 Club Oriental De Futbol 23 8 9 6 31:26 33
7 Cerrito 23 8 8 7 29:26 32
8 Paysandu FC 23 9 4 10 29:29 31
9 La Luz 23 8 7 8 21:25 31
10 Fenix 23 7 9 7 27:25 30
11 Miramar 23 7 8 8 25:27 29
12 Huracan FC 23 7 6 10 22:31 27
13 Tacuarembo 23 6 6 11 17:26 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 23 4 6 13 21:35 18
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)