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Colonia Moscardo vs CF Fuenlabrada

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Perez I.
56'
Llorente E.
56'
Llorente E.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Colonia Moscardo and CF Fuenlabrada finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colonia Moscardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Colonia Moscardo
28%
Draws
22%
CF Fuenlabrada
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CF Fuenlabrada have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Colonia Moscardo are scoring more at 1.38.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Colonia Moscardo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CF Fuenlabrada have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%
CF Fuenlabrada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colonia Moscardo CF Fuenlabrada
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs CF Fuenlabrada
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardo
3:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs CF Fuenlabrada
1:2
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CF Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colonia Moscardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CF Fuenlabrada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colonia Moscardo 59 / 100
CF Fuenlabrada 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colonia Moscardo CF Fuenlabrada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Fuenlabrada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Colonia Moscardo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Colonia Moscardo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colonia Moscardo VS CF Fuenlabrada
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330