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Colonia Moscardo vs Moratalaz

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 game between Colonia Moscardo and Moratalaz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colonia Moscardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Colonia Moscardo
20%
Draws
22%
Moratalaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colonia Moscardo come out ahead of Moratalaz on wins alone.
  • Colonia Moscardo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colonia Moscardo Moratalaz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.27 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Moratalaz
2:1
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Colonia Moscardo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colonia Moscardo 95 / 100
Moratalaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colonia Moscardo Moratalaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Colonia Moscardo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Colonia Moscardo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colonia Moscardo VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colonia Moscardo

(Home)
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0
Colonia Moscardo
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0
Navalcarnero
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Moratalaz

(Away)
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6
AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4
Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
03 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 3
Moratalaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)