Sport Picks
Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Vallecano B
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 
Match Events
10'
10'
Aguilera P.
45'
45'
Aguilera P.
52'
52'
Sy A.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Colonia Moscardo and Rayo Vallecano B finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colonia Moscardo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colonia Moscardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Colonia Moscardo come out ahead of Rayo Vallecano B on wins alone.
- Colonia Moscardo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Colonia Moscardo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colonia Moscardo | Rayo Vallecano B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Vallecano B
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Vallecano B vs Colonia Moscardo
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Vallecano B
3:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Colonia Moscardo
0:2
Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Colonia Moscardo
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colonia Moscardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguilera P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Rayo Vallecano B Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colonia Moscardo 85 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colonia Moscardo Rayo Vallecano B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Colonia Moscardo scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Colonia Moscardo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Colonia Moscardo VS Rayo Vallecano B
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Colonia Moscardo
(Home) 27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Siello
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0 Navalcarnero
11 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 Orihuela
22 Mar
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 2 Las Palmas B
Page 1 of 3
Rayo Vallecano B
(Away) 27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2 Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
19 Apr
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:23 | 70 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:30 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:35 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 57:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:43 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 51:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 15 | CF Fuenlabrada | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Colonia Moscardo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:57 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 34:55 | 31 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 30:63 | 30 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
