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Colorado Caieiras vs Penapolense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

79'
Pereira L.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Colorado Caieiras and Penapolense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Colorado Caieiras
6%
Draws
90%
Penapolense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penapolense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Colorado Caieiras haven't matched Penapolense's recent run of results.
  • Penapolense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Colorado Caieiras Clean Sheet 14%
Penapolense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Caieiras Penapolense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 14
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.57 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Paulista A4
Colorado Caieiras vs Penapolense
0:0
Feb 12, 2025 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Colorado Caieiras
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Caieiras 10 / 100
Penapolense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Caieiras Penapolense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penapolense conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Colorado Caieiras scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Colorado Caieiras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Caieiras VS Penapolense
0.57 Goals Scored 1.5
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
71% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter de Bebedouro15103221:633
2Sao Caetano1592423:1429
3Penapolense1585222:1029
4Sao-Carlense1575320:1326
5Barretos EC1575312:1026
6Taquaritinga1573520:1324
7Jacarei FC1565411:923
8Lemense1564514:1222
9ECUS SP1557311:622
10Comercial1562717:1620
11Tanabi1546512:1018
12Jabaquara1544714:1716
13Vocem1536612:1315
14Colorado Caieiras151776:2010
15Nacional SP1522117:228
16AEA Aracatuba1512126:375