Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2022

SKA Brasil

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colorado Caieiras play SKA Brasil in the Paulista A4 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colorado Caieiras averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. SKA Brasil averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. In past meetings, Colorado Caieiras won 1, SKA Brasil won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 24, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Colorado Caieiras and 1.00 for SKA Brasil. This points to a SKA Brasil double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Colorado Caieiras

28%

Draws

41%

SKA Brasil

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SKA Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Colorado Caieiras picked up more points recently compared to SKA Brasil.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Colorado Caieiras Clean Sheet 23%

SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colorado Caieiras	SKA Brasil
Matches Played	35	32
Wins	11	14
Draws	13	9
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.06	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.09	0.78

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4

SKA Brasil vs Colorado Caieiras

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

May 21, 2023 Paulista A4

Colorado Caieiras vs SKA Brasil

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Jun 5, 2022 Paulista A4

Colorado Caieiras vs SKA Brasil

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Apr 30, 2022 Paulista A4

SKA Brasil vs Colorado Caieiras

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Caieiras 33 / 100

SKA Brasil 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colorado Caieiras SKA Brasil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SKA Brasil or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colorado Caieiras attacking → ← attacking SKA Brasil

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Caieiras scored in 54% of their last 35 games.

SKA Brasil let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Colorado Caieiras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SKA Brasil lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 51

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penapolense	10	6	3	1	23:6	21
2	Inter de Bebedouro	10	6	3	1	18:6	21
3	Catanduva FC	10	6	2	2	25:11	20
4	Fernandopolis	10	2	2	6	11:22	8
5	America SP	10	2	2	6	14:24	8
6	Andradina Esporte Clube	10	2	0	8	12:34	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio Prudente	10	7	3	0	17:4	24
2	AA Itarare	10	3	6	1	13:8	15
3	Osvaldo Cruz	10	3	5	2	12:10	14
4	Vocem	10	3	4	3	8:12	13
5	Assisense	10	2	5	3	9:10	11
6	Santacruzense	10	0	1	9	4:19	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Taquaritinga	10	7	0	3	17:8	21
2	Sao-Carlense	10	6	2	2	17:5	20
3	XV de Jau	10	5	3	2	16:7	18
4	Francana	10	3	4	3	8:8	13
5	Sao Carlos	10	2	4	4	6:14	10
6	Batatais	10	0	1	9	7:29	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Itapirense	10	7	2	1	20:10	23
2	Rio Branco SP	10	6	1	3	15:10	19
3	Paulista	10	5	3	2	15:8	18
4	Amparo SP	10	3	3	4	15:12	12
5	Independente SP	10	3	2	5	8:9	11
6	Uniao Sao Joao	10	0	1	9	3:27	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manthiqueira	10	6	2	2	26:12	20
2	Jacarei FC	10	6	1	3	25:6	19
3	Flamengo SP	10	5	4	1	18:11	19
4	Uniao Mogi	10	4	2	4	25:12	14
5	Guarulhos	10	2	4	4	11:18	10
6	Atletico Mogi	10	0	1	9	5:51	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maua FC	10	5	3	2	12:9	18
2	SKA Brasil	10	5	2	3	19:8	17
3	Colorado Caieiras	10	4	5	1	16:10	17
4	Jabaquara	10	4	3	3	10:10	15
5	Mauaense	10	2	4	4	11:16	10
6	ECUS SP	10	1	1	8	12:27	4