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Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colorado Rapids host San Jose Earthquakes in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Colorado Rapids at 1.36 goals for, 1.36 against; San Jose Earthquakes at 1.83 for, 1.55 against. Head-to-head, Colorado Rapids have won 3 to San Jose Earthquakes's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.50) point toward Colorado Rapids. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Colorado Rapids
35%
Draws
45%
San Jose Earthquakes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Jose Earthquakes are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 16%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Rapids San Jose Earthquakes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.36 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 US Open Cup
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
2:0
May 11, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids
1:2
May 12, 2024 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
2:3
Apr 14, 2024 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Rapids 19 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Rapids San Jose Earthquakes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Rapids's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

San Jose Earthquakes let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Colorado Rapids has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Rapids VS San Jose Earthquakes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Rapids

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6

San Jose Earthquakes

(Away)
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)