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Columbus Crew vs Burnley

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Obafemi M. In: Hountondji A.
Out: Obafemi M.
46'
Sub
Broja A. In: McMahon-Brown K.
Out: Broja A.
46'
Sub
Edwards M. In: Masara V.
Out: Edwards M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Columbus Crew and Burnley finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Columbus Crew
20%
Draws
20%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Columbus Crew carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Columbus Crew a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 16%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew Burnley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 2
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.66 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Columbus Crew vs Burnley
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Gazdag D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Adewumi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 75 / 100
Burnley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Columbus Crew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Columbus Crew scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Burnley has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Burnley lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS Burnley
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Columbus Crew

(Home)
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
05 Sept
Columbus Crew
3 : 0
Colorado Rapids
30 Aug
Columbus Crew
1 : 3
New England Revolution
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Burnley

(Away)
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2
Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
29 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1
Burnley
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