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Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

MLS ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Denkey K.
Assist: Evander
41' Event
Thiare J.
Assist: Chambost D.
45' Event
Gazdag D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Columbus Crew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Columbus Crew
20%
Draws
15%
FC Cincinnati
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Columbus Crew come out ahead of FC Cincinnati on wins alone.
  • Columbus Crew are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew FC Cincinnati
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.66 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati
4:0
Oct 27, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiare J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Cincinnati Compare

Top Goalscorer Denkey K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 95 / 100
FC Cincinnati 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew FC Cincinnati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Columbus Crew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Cincinnati's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Columbus Crew stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS FC Cincinnati
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Columbus Crew

(Home)
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

FC Cincinnati

(Away)
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0
FC Cincinnati
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)