Sport Picks
Columbus Crew vs Orlando City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
US Open Cup ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH 
Match Events
9'
9'
Martinez J.
40'
40'
Ojeda M.
Assist: Ellis J.
46'
46'
Sub
Gerbet J. In: Cartagena W.
Out: Gerbet J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Columbus Crew
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Columbus Crew have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — Orlando City are scoring more at 2.11.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Columbus Crew taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Columbus Crew, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 12%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Columbus Crew | Orlando City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 US Open Cup
Columbus Crew vs Orlando City
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Orlando City
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs Columbus Crew
1:1
Jul 25, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Orlando City
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Orlando City
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Columbus Crew Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mendez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Orlando City Compare
Top Goalscorer Ojeda M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Columbus Crew 65 / 100
Orlando City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Columbus Crew Orlando City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Columbus Crew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Columbus Crew's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Orlando City has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Columbus Crew has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Columbus Crew VS Orlando City
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Columbus Crew
(Home) 27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1 Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Inter Miami
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
05 Sept
Columbus Crew
3 : 0 Colorado Rapids
30 Aug
Columbus Crew
1 : 3 New England Revolution
Page 1 of 4
Orlando City
(Away) 26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2 Orlando City
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2 Orlando City
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
30 Aug
Minnesota United
3 : 3 Orlando City
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -
