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Altrincham

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colwyn Bay play Altrincham in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colwyn Bay averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Altrincham averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Colwyn Bay won 0, Altrincham won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2014 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Colwyn Bay and 1.00 for Altrincham. This points to a Colwyn Bay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Colwyn Bay

16%

Draws

41%

Altrincham

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Colwyn Bay picked up more points recently compared to Altrincham.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 23%

Altrincham Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colwyn Bay	Altrincham
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	10
Draws	4	4
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.62	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.54
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2014 National League North

Colwyn Bay vs Altrincham

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 0 - 4

1:3

Feb 22, 2014 National League North

Altrincham vs Colwyn Bay

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Nov 19, 2013 FA Trophy

Colwyn Bay vs Altrincham

Possession: 59% - 60% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Mar 16, 2013 National League North

Colwyn Bay vs Altrincham

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

1:3

Feb 23, 2013 National League North

Altrincham vs Colwyn Bay

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 43 / 100

Altrincham 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colwyn Bay Altrincham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colwyn Bay or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colwyn Bay attacking → ← attacking Altrincham

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colwyn Bay scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Altrincham let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Colwyn Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Altrincham lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 34

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00