Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Llanelian Road

Barry Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colwyn Bay play Barry Town in the Cymru Premier 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colwyn Bay averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Barry Town averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Colwyn Bay won 3, Barry Town won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Colwyn Bay and 1.19 for Barry Town. This points to a Colwyn Bay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Colwyn Bay

17%

Draws

41%

Barry Town

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Colwyn Bay picked up more points recently compared to Barry Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 20%

Barry Town Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colwyn Bay	Barry Town
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	14	15
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.59	1.89
Goals Conceded	1.24	0.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cymru Premier

Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 0 - 4

3:1

Feb 7, 2026 Cymru Premier

Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Nov 1, 2025 Cymru Premier

Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Aug 16, 2025 Cymru Premier

Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Apr 21, 2024 Cymru Premier

Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Robles L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Barry Town Compare

Top Goalscorer George M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 42 / 100

Barry Town 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colwyn Bay Barry Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colwyn Bay or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colwyn Bay attacking → ← attacking Barry Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colwyn Bay scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Barry Town let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Colwyn Bay went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Barry Town lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 50

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	TNS	32	26	2	4	81:25	80
2	Connahs Q.	32	16	10	6	61:38	58
3	Barry Town	32	12	10	10	43:33	46
4	Caernarfon	32	12	9	11	56:47	45
5	Colwyn Bay	32	12	9	11	41:37	45
6	Penybont	32	11	8	13	39:49	41