Sport Picks
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Q. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn 
Match Events
9'
9'
West C.
(Penalty)
35'
35'
Hughes A.
46'
46'
Sub
Moore A. In: Roberts D.
Out: Moore A.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Colwyn Bay and Connahs Q. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colwyn Bay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Colwyn Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Colwyn Bay's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 68%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colwyn Bay | Connahs Q. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Q.
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Colwyn Bay
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Q.
2:2
Dec 5, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Colwyn Bay
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Q.
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colwyn Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Forde S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Connahs Q. Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colwyn Bay 50 / 100
Connahs Q. 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colwyn Bay Connahs Q.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Colwyn Bay scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Connahs Q. let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Colwyn Bay remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Colwyn Bay VS Connahs Q.
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Colwyn Bay
(Home) 03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
31 Aug
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0 Llandudno FC
21 Aug
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 4
Connahs Q.
(Away) 03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
22 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 2 Connahs Q.
07 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:32 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5:30 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13:38 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
