Sport Picks
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont
Wales
Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Penybont advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Colwyn Bay come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Colwyn Bay have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Colwyn Bay, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colwyn Bay | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Colwyn Bay found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Penybont let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Colwyn Bay went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
