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Comarca vs Adra

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 game between Comarca and Adra finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Comarca
15%
Draws
0%
Adra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Comarca come out ahead of Adra on wins alone.
  • Model gives Comarca a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Comarca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Comarca Clean Sheet 18%
Adra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comarca Adra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 19 28
Goals Scored 0.81 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Adra
3:0
Oct 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Comarca
0:2
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Adra
2:0
Sep 24, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Comarca
1:0
Apr 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Comarca
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comarca 85 / 100
Adra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comarca Adra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Adra conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Adra has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Comarca scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Comarca VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comarca

(Home)
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1
Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3
Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1
Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 7

Adra

(Away)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)