Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Comarca vs Alhaurin

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comarca in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Comarca
20%
Draws
51%
Alhaurin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alhaurin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alhaurin lately — more wins on the board than Comarca.
  • Alhaurin are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Comarca Clean Sheet 20%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comarca Alhaurin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.7 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Comarca
3:1
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Alhaurin
1:1
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Alhaurin
5:1
Dec 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Comarca
0:1
Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Comarca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comarca 28 / 100
Alhaurin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comarca Alhaurin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alhaurin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alhaurin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Comarca scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Comarca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alhaurin
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Comarca

(Home)
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1
Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3
Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1
Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

Alhaurin

(Away)
24 Apr
Marbella
5 : 0
Alhaurin
17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
09 Apr
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1
Alhaurin
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 1
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)