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Comarca vs CD Ronda

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between Comarca and CD Ronda finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Comarca
15%
Draws
51%
CD Ronda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ronda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Comarca have managed 0.7 goals a game lately — CD Ronda are scoring more at 0.84.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Comarca Clean Sheet 20%
CD Ronda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comarca CD Ronda
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 19 25
Goals Scored 0.7 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs CD Ronda
0:0
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Comarca
1:1
Apr 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs CD Ronda
5:0
Dec 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Comarca
1:2
Mar 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs CD Ronda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comarca 32 / 100
CD Ronda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comarca CD Ronda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ronda has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Ronda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Comarca's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Ronda
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Comarca

(Home)
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1
Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3
Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1
Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

CD Ronda

(Away)
15 May
CD Ronda
4 : 3
UD San Pedro
08 May
Mancha
5 : 1
CD Ronda
30 Apr
CD Ronda
2 : 6
Malaga B
24 Apr
Espanol Alquian
0 : 3
CD Ronda
17 Apr
CD Ronda
1 : 2
Velez
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)