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Comercial MS vs 7 de Setembro

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

2 - 2
FT
7 de Setembro Logo

7 de Setembro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 game between Comercial MS and 7 de Setembro finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Comercial MS
20%
Draws
40%
7 de Setembro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Comercial MS haven't matched 7 de Setembro's recent run of results.
  • Comercial MS are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 10%
7 de Setembro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial MS 7 de Setembro
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs 7 de Setembro
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs 7 de Setembro
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
7 de Setembro vs Comercial MS
2:1
Feb 16, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
7 de Setembro vs Comercial MS
0:2
Apr 9, 2017 Sul-Matogrossense
Comercial MS vs 7 de Setembro
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 40 / 100
7 de Setembro 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial MS 7 de Setembro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Comercial MS found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

7 de Setembro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Comercial MS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS 7 de Setembro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.71
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial MS

(Home)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
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7 de Setembro

(Away)
02 Aug
7 de Setembro
4 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
25 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
7 de Setembro
17 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 3
7 de Setembro
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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