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Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
2 - 2
10:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Caique Valdivia
(Penalty)
57' Event
Tarcisio
(Penalty)
75' Event
Everton Heleno

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Comercial PI
20%
Draws
47%
Flamengo PI
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flamengo PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Comercial PI carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Comercial PI have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo PI, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 20%
Flamengo PI Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI Flamengo PI
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI
2:2
Oct 1, 2026 Piauiense 2
Flamengo PI vs Comercial PI
1:0
Sep 6, 2026 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Piauiense 2
Flamengo PI vs Comercial PI
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial PI Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Flamengo PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Heleno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 32 / 100
Flamengo PI 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI Flamengo PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Flamengo PI conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Comercial PI went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI VS Flamengo PI
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial PI

(Home)
01 Oct
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Comercial PI
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo PI

(Away)
01 Oct
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Comercial PI
26 Sept
Picos
2 : 0
Flamengo PI
20 Sept
Flamengo PI
4 : 1
Caicara
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
09 Sept
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Julho Esporte
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Comercial PI 2
Flamengo PI 3
Picos 2
River-PI 3
Final
Flamengo PI -
River-PI -