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Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Wellington Nunes
(Penalty)
83' Event
Caique Valdivia
90' Event
Costa L.

AI Match Summary

Comercial PI in this Piauiense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Comercial PI
35%
Draws
32%
Flamengo PI
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Flamengo PI haven't matched Comercial PI's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Comercial PI a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 19%
Flamengo PI Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI Flamengo PI
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI
2:2
Oct 1, 2026 Piauiense 2
Flamengo PI vs Comercial PI
1:0
Sep 6, 2026 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Piauiense 2
Flamengo PI vs Comercial PI
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique Valdivia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Flamengo PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 36 / 100
Flamengo PI 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI Flamengo PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Flamengo PI conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Comercial PI stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI VS Flamengo PI
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial PI

(Home)
07 Oct
Comercial PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
01 Oct
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Comercial PI
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
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Flamengo PI

(Away)
07 Oct
Comercial PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
01 Oct
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Comercial PI
26 Sept
Picos
2 : 0
Flamengo PI
20 Sept
Flamengo PI
4 : 1
Caicara
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos 5 4 1 0 15:5 13
2 Comercial PI 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
3 Flamengo PI 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
4 River-PI 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
5 Julho Esporte 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
6 Caicara 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Piauiense 2 (Play Offs)