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Comercial PI vs Julho Esporte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Jeferson Prill
49' Event
Izaldo

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Piauiense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Comercial PI
35%
Draws
25%
Julho Esporte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Comercial PI have won more games recently than Julho Esporte.
  • Comercial PI are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 20%
Julho Esporte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI Julho Esporte
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Julho Esporte
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Comercial PI
2:3
Jan 18, 2023 Piauiense
Comercial PI vs Julho Esporte
0:1
Apr 22, 2017 Piauiense
Comercial PI vs Julho Esporte
0:0
Mar 11, 2017 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Comercial PI
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Izaldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Julho Esporte Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeferson Prill
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 40 / 100
Julho Esporte 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI Julho Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Julho Esporte conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Comercial PI stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI VS Julho Esporte
1 Goals Scored 1.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial PI

(Home)
07 Oct
Comercial PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
01 Oct
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Comercial PI
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
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Julho Esporte

(Away)
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
09 Sept
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Julho Esporte
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos 5 4 1 0 15:5 13
2 Comercial PI 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
3 Flamengo PI 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
4 River-PI 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
5 Julho Esporte 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
6 Caicara 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Piauiense 2 (Play Offs)