Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Comercial PI vs River-PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Comercial PI Logo

Comercial PI

2 - 1
FT
River-PI Logo

River-PI

Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Francisco Mendes Rocha L.
86' Event
Natalicio
90' Event
Moraes S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial PI in this Piauiense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Comercial PI
20%
Draws
29%
River-PI
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • River-PI have won more games recently than Comercial PI.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Comercial PI taking it.
  • Regular Piauiense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 68%
River-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI River-PI
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs River-PI
2:1
Mar 16, 2023 Piauiense
River-PI vs Comercial PI
2:0
Feb 1, 2023 Piauiense
Comercial PI vs River-PI
0:4
Apr 9, 2017 Piauiense
River-PI vs Comercial PI
0:0
Feb 18, 2017 Piauiense
Comercial PI vs River-PI
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Francisco Mendes Rocha L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moraes S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Natalicio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 68 / 100
River-PI 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI River-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River-PI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Comercial PI stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

River-PI lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI VS River-PI
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial PI

(Home)
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
06 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
Flamengo PI
26 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6

River-PI

(Away)
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos 5 4 1 0 15:5 13
2 Comercial PI 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
3 Flamengo PI 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
4 River-PI 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
5 Julho Esporte 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
6 Caicara 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Piauiense 2 (Play Offs)