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Comercial U20 vs Botafogo SP U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2023
Comercial U20 Logo

Comercial U20

0 - 0
FT
Botafogo SP U20 Logo

Botafogo SP U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Comercial U20
30%
Draws
51%
Botafogo SP U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo SP U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo SP U20 have won more games recently than Comercial U20.
  • Model gives Botafogo SP U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Comercial U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo SP U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial U20 Botafogo SP U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2024 Paulista U20
Botafogo SP U20 vs Comercial U20
3:1
Apr 27, 2024 Paulista U20
Comercial U20 vs Botafogo SP U20
3:3
May 27, 2023 Paulista U20
Botafogo SP U20 vs Comercial U20
2:1
Apr 22, 2023 Paulista U20
Comercial U20 vs Botafogo SP U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial U20 10 / 100
Botafogo SP U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial U20 Botafogo SP U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo SP U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP U20 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Comercial U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Comercial U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Botafogo SP U20
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial U20

(Home)
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 3
America MG U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
2 : 0
Noroeste U20
03 Jan
Comercial U20
1 : 2
Atletico-PI U20
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 0
Vitoria U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo SP U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Osasco Audax U20
0 : 0
Botafogo SP U20
20 Sept
Botafogo SP U20
4 : 1
Osasco Audax U20
12 Sept
Botafogo SP U20
1 : 1
EC Sao Bernardo U20
04 Sept
Velo Clube U20
0 : 4
Botafogo SP U20
21 Aug
CA Bandeirante U20
0 : 4
Botafogo SP U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 10 8 1 1 40:9 25
2 Rio Preto EC U20 10 8 1 1 30:13 25
3 Tanabi U20 10 5 3 2 20:14 18
4 Olimpia FC U20 10 3 1 6 18:32 10
5 America SP U20 10 2 0 8 15:27 6
6 Fernandopolis U20 10 1 0 9 8:36 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Vocem U20 10 7 1 2 23:6 22
3 Aracatuba FC U20 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
4 Bandeirante U20 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
5 Tupa U20 10 3 1 6 11:20 10
6 Santacruzense U20 10 0 0 10 4:28 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 10 6 3 1 19:5 21
2 Comercial U20 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
3 CA Bandeirante U20 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro U20 10 4 2 4 14:18 14
5 Batatais U20 10 2 1 7 8:16 7
6 Francana U20 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 10 10 0 0 30:2 30
2 Novorizontino U20 10 7 1 2 32:6 22
3 XV de Jau U20 10 5 2 3 23:9 17
4 Monte Azul U20 10 4 1 5 18:21 13
5 CA Taquaritinga U20 10 2 0 8 8:39 6
6 Catanduvense U20 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lemense U20 10 6 3 1 23:7 21
2 Internacional de Limeira U20 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
3 Rio Claro U20 10 5 2 3 24:8 17
4 Velo Clube U20 10 5 2 3 23:15 17
5 Sao Carlos U20 10 2 1 7 20:31 7
6 Uniao Sao Joao U20 10 0 1 9 5:46 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani U20 10 6 2 2 20:10 20
2 Capivariano U20 10 5 3 2 31:14 18
3 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Rio Branco EC U20 10 3 3 4 18:22 12
5 Piracicaba U20 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
6 Independente SP U20 10 1 3 6 10:30 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 10 7 1 2 15:7 22
2 Mogi Mirim U20 10 6 2 2 18:12 20
3 Itapirense U20 10 5 1 4 16:9 16
4 Brasilis U20 10 4 4 2 16:14 16
5 Guacuano U20 10 2 2 6 10:22 8
6 Aguai U20 10 0 2 8 7:18 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo U20 10 9 1 0 32:11 28
2 Osasco Sporting U20 10 6 1 3 19:14 19
3 Ituano U20 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
4 Sao Bento U20 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
5 Sharjah Brasil U20 10 3 0 7 13:19 9
6 Salto U20 10 0 0 10 4:25 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 10 9 0 1 28:2 27
2 Portuguesa U20 10 8 0 2 27:5 24
3 Bragantino U20 10 6 0 4 35:8 18
4 Flamengo SP U20 10 4 0 6 12:18 12
5 Guarulhos U20 10 2 0 8 5:32 6
6 Barcelona EC U20 10 1 0 9 1:43 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 10 7 3 0 25:6 24
2 Juventus-SP U20 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 SKA Brasil U20 10 5 2 3 9:12 17
4 Osasco Audax U20 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
5 Nacional SP U20 10 2 2 6 9:18 8
6 GE Osasco U20 10 0 0 10 4:19 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 10 10 0 0 38:4 30
2 Taubate U20 10 6 1 3 27:11 19
3 Sao Jose EC U20 10 5 2 3 13:7 17
4 AC Guaratingueta U20 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
5 Manthiqueira U20 10 2 0 8 9:39 6
6 CA Joseense U20 10 0 2 8 5:28 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 10 7 3 0 49:8 24
2 Agua Santa U20 10 7 3 0 24:5 24
3 Sao Caetano U20 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
4 Uniao Suzano U20 10 3 1 6 10:20 10
5 Uniao Mogi U20 10 1 1 8 7:34 4
6 ECUS SP U20 10 1 0 9 10:39 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 10 8 1 1 34:6 25
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 10 5 2 3 22:21 17
3 Jabaquara U20 10 4 1 5 18:20 13
4 Maua FC U20 10 3 2 5 16:25 11
5 Mauaense U20 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
6 Portuguesa Santista U20 10 2 3 5 12:21 9
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams