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Comercial U20 vs Francana U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2023
Comercial U20 Logo

Comercial U20

3 - 1
FT
Francana U20 Logo

Francana U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2023 game between Comercial U20 and Francana U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comercial U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Comercial U20
15%
Draws
51%
Francana U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francana U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Comercial U20 come out ahead of Francana U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Comercial U20 a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Comercial U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Francana U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial U20 Francana U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.55 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2024 Paulista U20
Francana U20 vs Comercial U20
5:2
May 10, 2024 Paulista U20
Comercial U20 vs Francana U20
2:2
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista U20
Comercial U20 vs Francana U20
3:1
May 6, 2023 Paulista U20
Francana U20 vs Comercial U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial U20 66 / 100
Francana U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial U20 Francana U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Comercial U20 scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Francana U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Francana U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Comercial U20 VS Francana U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial U20

(Home)
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 3
America MG U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
2 : 0
Noroeste U20
03 Jan
Comercial U20
1 : 2
Atletico-PI U20
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 0
Vitoria U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 7

Francana U20

(Away)
12 Jan
Ponte Preta U20
2 : 1
Francana U20
10 Jan
Francana U20
0 : 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
06 Jan
Francana U20
1 : 0
Barra FC U20
03 Jan
Francana U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
10 Jan
Francana U20
0 : 3
Atletico-MG U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 10 8 1 1 40:9 25
2 Rio Preto EC U20 10 8 1 1 30:13 25
3 Tanabi U20 10 5 3 2 20:14 18
4 Olimpia FC U20 10 3 1 6 18:32 10
5 America SP U20 10 2 0 8 15:27 6
6 Fernandopolis U20 10 1 0 9 8:36 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Vocem U20 10 7 1 2 23:6 22
3 Aracatuba FC U20 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
4 Bandeirante U20 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
5 Tupa U20 10 3 1 6 11:20 10
6 Santacruzense U20 10 0 0 10 4:28 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 10 6 3 1 19:5 21
2 Comercial U20 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
3 CA Bandeirante U20 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro U20 10 4 2 4 14:18 14
5 Batatais U20 10 2 1 7 8:16 7
6 Francana U20 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 10 10 0 0 30:2 30
2 Novorizontino U20 10 7 1 2 32:6 22
3 XV de Jau U20 10 5 2 3 23:9 17
4 Monte Azul U20 10 4 1 5 18:21 13
5 CA Taquaritinga U20 10 2 0 8 8:39 6
6 Catanduvense U20 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lemense U20 10 6 3 1 23:7 21
2 Internacional de Limeira U20 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
3 Rio Claro U20 10 5 2 3 24:8 17
4 Velo Clube U20 10 5 2 3 23:15 17
5 Sao Carlos U20 10 2 1 7 20:31 7
6 Uniao Sao Joao U20 10 0 1 9 5:46 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani U20 10 6 2 2 20:10 20
2 Capivariano U20 10 5 3 2 31:14 18
3 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Rio Branco EC U20 10 3 3 4 18:22 12
5 Piracicaba U20 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
6 Independente SP U20 10 1 3 6 10:30 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 10 7 1 2 15:7 22
2 Mogi Mirim U20 10 6 2 2 18:12 20
3 Itapirense U20 10 5 1 4 16:9 16
4 Brasilis U20 10 4 4 2 16:14 16
5 Guacuano U20 10 2 2 6 10:22 8
6 Aguai U20 10 0 2 8 7:18 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo U20 10 9 1 0 32:11 28
2 Osasco Sporting U20 10 6 1 3 19:14 19
3 Ituano U20 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
4 Sao Bento U20 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
5 Sharjah Brasil U20 10 3 0 7 13:19 9
6 Salto U20 10 0 0 10 4:25 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 10 9 0 1 28:2 27
2 Portuguesa U20 10 8 0 2 27:5 24
3 Bragantino U20 10 6 0 4 35:8 18
4 Flamengo SP U20 10 4 0 6 12:18 12
5 Guarulhos U20 10 2 0 8 5:32 6
6 Barcelona EC U20 10 1 0 9 1:43 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 10 7 3 0 25:6 24
2 Juventus-SP U20 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 SKA Brasil U20 10 5 2 3 9:12 17
4 Osasco Audax U20 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
5 Nacional SP U20 10 2 2 6 9:18 8
6 GE Osasco U20 10 0 0 10 4:19 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 10 10 0 0 38:4 30
2 Taubate U20 10 6 1 3 27:11 19
3 Sao Jose EC U20 10 5 2 3 13:7 17
4 AC Guaratingueta U20 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
5 Manthiqueira U20 10 2 0 8 9:39 6
6 CA Joseense U20 10 0 2 8 5:28 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 10 7 3 0 49:8 24
2 Agua Santa U20 10 7 3 0 24:5 24
3 Sao Caetano U20 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
4 Uniao Suzano U20 10 3 1 6 10:20 10
5 Uniao Mogi U20 10 1 1 8 7:34 4
6 ECUS SP U20 10 1 0 9 10:39 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 10 8 1 1 34:6 25
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 10 5 2 3 22:21 17
3 Jabaquara U20 10 4 1 5 18:20 13
4 Maua FC U20 10 3 2 5 16:25 11
5 Mauaense U20 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
6 Portuguesa Santista U20 10 2 3 5 12:21 9
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams