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Comercial U20 vs Sao Paulo U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2023
Comercial U20 Logo

Comercial U20

2 - 2
FT
Sao Paulo U20 Logo

Sao Paulo U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2023 game between Comercial U20 and Sao Paulo U20 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Comercial U20
20%
Draws
61%
Sao Paulo U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Comercial U20 haven't matched Sao Paulo U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sao Paulo U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Comercial U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial U20 Sao Paulo U20
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.55 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2023 Paulista U20
Comercial U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
2:2
Jun 30, 2023 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Comercial U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial U20 10 / 100
Sao Paulo U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial U20 Sao Paulo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Comercial U20 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sao Paulo U20 let in goals in 44% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Comercial U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sao Paulo U20
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial U20

(Home)
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 3
America MG U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
2 : 0
Noroeste U20
03 Jan
Comercial U20
1 : 2
Atletico-PI U20
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 0
Vitoria U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 7

Sao Paulo U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
16 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
10 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
13 : 1
Gremio Santo Antonio U20
04 Sept
Desportivo U20
0 : 1
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
3 Vocem U20 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
4 Mogi Mirim U20 6 0 0 6 1:17 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa U20 6 4 0 2 10:9 12
2 Osasco Sporting U20 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
3 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
4 Rio Preto EC U20 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Portuguesa U20 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Rio Claro U20 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Taubate U20 6 0 1 5 2:8 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 6 5 1 0 9:2 16
2 Ibrachina U20 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
3 Tanabi U20 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Juventus-SP U20 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 6 5 1 0 19:5 16
2 Bragantino U20 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
3 Comercial U20 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
4 Lemense U20 6 1 0 5 3:18 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 6 4 1 1 16:7 13
2 Novorizontino U20 6 4 0 2 14:6 12
3 Guarani U20 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
4 Ituano U20 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional de Limeira U20 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 Corinthians U20 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Ponte Preta U20 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Sao Caetano U20 6 1 0 5 2:10 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 6 6 0 0 35:3 18
2 Desportivo U20 6 3 1 2 31:13 10
3 Capivariano U20 6 2 1 3 22:13 7
4 Aracatuba FC U20 6 0 0 6 2:61 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)