Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Comercial vs Inter de Bebedouro

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Cristopher

AI Match Summary

Comercial in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Comercial
30%
Draws
37%
Inter de Bebedouro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter de Bebedouro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter de Bebedouro lately — more wins on the board than Comercial.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Comercial Clean Sheet 22%
Inter de Bebedouro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial Inter de Bebedouro
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Paulista A4
Comercial vs Inter de Bebedouro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristopher
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Inter de Bebedouro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial 37 / 100
Inter de Bebedouro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial Inter de Bebedouro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter de Bebedouro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Comercial scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Comercial remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Inter de Bebedouro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Comercial VS Inter de Bebedouro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial

(Home)
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
08 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1
Comercial
31 Jul
Comercial
0 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
18 Jul
Comercial
2 : 0
Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

Inter de Bebedouro

(Away)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
18 Apr
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 0
Lemense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)