Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Gabriel Chagas
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Josiel
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Piracicaba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Comercial come out ahead of Piracicaba on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Comercial have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Piracicaba, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Comercial Clean Sheet 20%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comercial | Piracicaba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 14 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Copa Paulista
Comercial vs Piracicaba
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Comercial
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Comercial
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Copa Paulista
Comercial vs Piracicaba
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Paulista A2
Comercial vs Piracicaba
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comercial 32 / 100
Piracicaba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comercial Piracicaba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comercial scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Piracicaba conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Comercial went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Comercial VS Piracicaba
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Comercial
(Home) 19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0 Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0 Sao Jose EC
05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3 Comercial
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0 Sao Jose EC
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1 Piracicaba
31 Jul
Comercial
0 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
18 Jul
Comercial
2 : 0 Noroeste
Page 1 of 4
Piracicaba
(Away) 22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1 Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
Page 1 of 7
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1 Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0 Piracicaba
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0 Piracicaba
20 Jun
America RJ
1 : 1 Piracicaba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
