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Comercial vs Sao Jose EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estadio Palma Travassos, Ribeirao Preto
Comercial Logo

Comercial

0 - 0
FT
Sao Jose EC Logo

Sao Jose EC

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Jeffinho
22'
Euller
27'
Felipe M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Comercial
35%
Draws
45%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Jose EC have won more games recently than Comercial.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sao Jose EC taking it.
  • Sao Jose EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Comercial, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Comercial Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.09 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Comercial
3:0
Sep 13, 2026 Copa Paulista
Comercial vs Sao Jose EC
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Comercial
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Copa Paulista
Comercial vs Sao Jose EC
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Comercial
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial 15 / 100
Sao Jose EC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial Sao Jose EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sao Jose EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Comercial has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comercial VS Sao Jose EC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial

(Home)
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1
Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3
Comercial
Page 1 of 7

Sao Jose EC

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0
Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Quarter-finals
Sao Jose EC 3
Comercial 0
Noroeste 3
Primavera EC 2
Linense 3
Gremio Prudente 4
Juventus-SP 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Semi-finals
Sao Jose EC 2
Noroeste 1
Gremio Prudente 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Final
Sao Jose EC -
Uniao Sao Joao -