Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Rodriguez A.
16' Event
Camacho D.
Assist: Caro D.
27' Event
Vilca R.
Assist: Arias A.

AI Match Summary

Cajamarca in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cajamarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Comerciantes Unidos
6%
Draws
90%
Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cajamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Comerciantes Unidos haven't matched Cajamarca's recent run of results.
  • Cajamarca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 22%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes Unidos Cajamarca
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:1
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
2:1
May 17, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comerciantes Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilca R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Camacho D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes Unidos 10 / 100
Cajamarca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes Unidos Cajamarca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cajamarca let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Comerciantes Unidos found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Comerciantes Unidos stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes Unidos VS Cajamarca
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016