Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
Match Events
26'
26'
Callejo F.
Assist: Colitto L.
33'
33'
Alcedo F.
49'
49'
Sub
Colitto L. In: Silva N.
Out: Colitto L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Comerciantes Unidos and Cusco finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comerciantes Unidos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comerciantes Unidos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cusco come out ahead of Comerciantes Unidos on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 68%
Cusco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco
3:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Comerciantes Unidos
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:1
May 24, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Liga 1
Cusco vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Alcedo F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Cusco Compare
Top Goalscorer Callejo F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes Unidos 41 / 100
Cusco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes Unidos Cusco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Comerciantes Unidos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cusco conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Comerciantes Unidos scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: Cusco registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes Unidos VS Cusco
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home) 28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
31 Jul
Los Chankas
3 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
25 May
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 3
Cusco
(Away) 23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
14 Aug
Cusco
2 : 0 Juan Pablo II
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1 Cajamarca
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Cusco
22 Jun
Binacional
4 : 3 Cusco
14 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 0 Cusco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 3 | A. Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Atletico Grau | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl. | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Cusco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Moquegua | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:16 | 7 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:16 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
