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Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Huaral

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Ardiles R.
23' Event
Lasso C.
46'
Sub
Lasso C. In: Magallanes P.
Out: Lasso C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2023 game between Comerciantes Unidos and Union Huaral finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comerciantes Unidos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Comerciantes Unidos
6%
Draws
4%
Union Huaral
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Comerciantes Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Comerciantes Unidos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Comerciantes Unidos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 68%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes Unidos Union Huaral
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2023 Liga 2
Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Huaral
2:0
Jun 19, 2023 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:5
Aug 21, 2022 Liga 2
Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Huaral
3:1
May 22, 2022 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:1
Sep 20, 2021 Liga 2
Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Huaral
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comerciantes Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Lasso C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mena J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Union Huaral Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes Unidos 95 / 100
Union Huaral 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes Unidos Union Huaral

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Union Huaral conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Union Huaral's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Comerciantes Unidos's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes Unidos VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427