Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Comillas CF vs Varea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ubis E.
48' Event
Martin Morer M. A.
82' Event
Martin Morer M. A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Comillas CF and Varea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comillas CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Comillas CF
30%
Draws
29%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comillas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Varea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Varea have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Comillas CF Clean Sheet 17%
Varea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comillas CF Varea
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Comillas CF vs Varea
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Comillas CF
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Comillas CF
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Comillas CF vs Varea
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Comillas CF vs Varea
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comillas CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin Morer M. A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Varea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ubis E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comillas CF 36 / 100
Varea 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comillas CF Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comillas CF scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Comillas CF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Comillas CF VS Varea
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Comillas CF

(Home)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
CD Calahorra
6 : 0
Comillas CF
26 Apr
Comillas CF
1 : 1
Yague
19 Apr
Comillas CF
4 : 0
Vianes
12 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 0
Comillas CF
Page 1 of 6

Varea

(Away)
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)