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Como vs Ajax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Como Cup 2025
3 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Fitz-Jim K. In: Mokio J.
Out: Fitz-Jim K.
26' Event
Paz N.
(Penalty)
42'
Traore B.

AI Match Summary

Como in this Como Cup 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Como
15%
Draws
39%
Ajax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ajax have won more games recently than Como.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Como taking it.
  • Ajax arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Como, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Como Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como Ajax
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.82 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Como Cup
Como vs Ajax
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Como Compare

Top Goalscorer Baturina M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ajax Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como 34 / 100
Ajax 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Como scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Ajax conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Como has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Como VS Ajax
1.63 Goals Scored 3.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Como

(Home)
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
Page 1 of 6

Ajax

(Away)
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5
Ajax
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Como 3
Al Ahli SC 1
Ajax 5
Celtic 1
Final
Como 3
Ajax 0
Al Ahli SC 1
Celtic 2