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Como vs AS Roma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Como host AS Roma in the Serie A. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. AS Roma have shipped 1.35 goals a game lately, while Como have conceded 1.15 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Como have won 3 to AS Roma's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.75) point toward Como. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Como
20%
Draws
38%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Como carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AS Roma are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Como Clean Sheet 12%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como AS Roma
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.88 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie A
Como vs AS Roma
2:1
Dec 15, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Como
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Como
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie A
Como vs AS Roma
2:0
Jan 25, 2003 Serie A
Como vs AS Roma
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como 27 / 100
AS Roma 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Como's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

AS Roma has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Como went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Como VS AS Roma
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Como

(Home)
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
Page 1 of 7

AS Roma

(Away)
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)