Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Como vs Sudtirol

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Casiraghi D.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Douvikas A.
Assist: Vojvoda M.
40' Event
Douvikas A.
Assist: Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Como advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Como
30%
Draws
51%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Como come out ahead of Sudtirol on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sudtirol a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Como have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Como, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Como Clean Sheet 19%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Coppa Italia
Como vs Sudtirol
3:1
Apr 1, 2024 Serie B
Como vs Sudtirol
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Como
0:1
Feb 11, 2023 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Como
1:1
Sep 10, 2022 Serie B
Como vs Sudtirol
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Como Compare

Top Goalscorer Douvikas A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Da Cunha L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sudtirol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como 10 / 100
Sudtirol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Como scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sudtirol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Como has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Como VS Sudtirol
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Como

(Home)
16 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 0
Como
16 Aug
Liverpool
0 : 0
Como
12 Aug
Arsenal
2 : 1
Como
31 Jul
Famalicao
2 : 3
Como
29 Jul
Villarreal
2 : 1
Como
Page 1 of 6

Sudtirol

(Away)
15 Aug
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Sudtirol
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Virtus Verona
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
25 Jul
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2