Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Como W vs Genoa W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Ferruccio, Seregno
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Lipman E.
34' Event
Nischler N.
(Penalty)
44'
Pavan M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Como W and Genoa W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Como W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Como W
30%
Draws
12%
Genoa W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Como W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Como W come out ahead of Genoa W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Como W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Como W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Como W Clean Sheet 20%
Genoa W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como W Genoa W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Serie A Women
Genoa W vs Como W
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Serie A Women
Como W vs Genoa W
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Como W vs Genoa W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Como W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Genoa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cinotti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como W 85 / 100
Genoa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como W Genoa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genoa W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Como W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Como W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Como W VS Genoa W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Como W

(Home)
29 Aug
Juventus W
1 : 0
Como W
22 Aug
AC Milan W
1 : 1
Como W
16 May
Inter W
0 : 3
Como W
09 May
Como W
0 : 0
Napoli W
03 May
Fiorentina W
1 : 0
Como W
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Genoa W

(Away)
16 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Genoa W
09 May
Genoa W
2 : 3
Fiorentina W
02 May
Sassuolo W
0 : 0
Genoa W
25 Apr
Genoa W
1 : 2
Inter W
04 Apr
Napoli W
4 : 1
Genoa W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)