Sport Picks

Comoros vs Gambia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium, El Jadida

Comoros

1 - 1

Gambia

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

M'Changama Y.

42'

Sub

Mohamed I. In: Lutin R.

Out: Mohamed I.

45'

Barrow M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Comoros

15%

Draws

46%

Gambia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gambia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Gambia's 1.68 goals per match outpaces what Comoros have produced (1).
36% — that's where the model lands on Comoros taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Comoros Clean Sheet 16%

Gambia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comoros	Gambia
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	10	10
Draws	4	7
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	1	1.68
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.09	1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Gambia vs Comoros

1:2

Sep 4, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Comoros vs Gambia

1:1

Sep 7, 2021 Friendly International

Comoros vs Gambia

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comoros Compare

Top Goalscorer M'Changama Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.84

Avg xA / game 0.55

Gambia Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrow M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comoros 36 / 100

Gambia 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comoros Gambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comoros's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gambia conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Comoros remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Comoros VS Gambia

0.38 Goals Scored 1.6

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.8

50% Over 1.5 80%

38% Over 2.5 80%

25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Comoros

(Home)

04 Oct

Comoros

0 : 1

Senegal

29 Sept

Comoros

1 : 0

Namibia

24 Sept

Cameroon

3 : 1

Comoros

09 Jun

Equatorial Guinea

0 : 1

Comoros

06 Jun

Morocco U23

2 : 1

Comoros

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Gambia

(Away)

29 Sept

Ghana

2 : 4

Gambia

25 Sept

Gambia

2 : 1

Somalia

29 May

Iran

3 : 1

Gambia

31 Mar

Senegal

3 : 1

Gambia

18 Nov

Kuwait

2 : 2

Gambia

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