Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca

Comoros

0 - 0

Mali

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Toibibou K.

47'

Camara M.

57'

Sub

Soilihi A. In: Boura I.

Out: Soilihi A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Comoros

30%

Draws

39%

Mali

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Mali have won more games recently than Comoros.
Comoros are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Mali arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Mali, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and Mali have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%

Comoros Clean Sheet 20%

Mali Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comoros	Mali
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	9	12
Draws	3	11
Losses	16	7
Goals Scored	0.96	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.46	0.53
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 29, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Comoros vs Mali

0:0

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Mali vs Comoros

3:0

Mar 20, 2025 World Championship

Comoros vs Mali

0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comoros 42 / 100

Mali 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comoros Mali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comoros scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mali let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Comoros went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comoros VS Mali

1 Goals Scored 0.5

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comoros

(Home)

09 Jun

Equatorial Guinea

0 : 1

Comoros

06 Jun

Morocco U23

2 : 1

Comoros

31 Mar

Kazakhstan

1 : 0

Comoros

28 Mar

Namibia

1 : 0

Comoros

29 Dec

Comoros

0 : 0

Mali

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Mali

(Away)

04 Jun

Iran

2 : 0

Mali

31 Mar

Russia

0 : 0

Mali

09 Jan

Mali

0 : 1

Senegal

03 Jan

Mali

2 : 1

Tunisia

29 Dec

Comoros

0 : 0

Mali

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