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Comoros vs Namibia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Stade omnisports de Malouzini, Moroni
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Shidolo M.
46'
Sub
Kari Y. In: Toibibou K.
Out: Kari Y.
54' Event
Youssouf B.
Assist: Youssouf Z.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Comoros
15%
Draws
42%
Namibia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comoros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comoros lately — more wins on the board than Namibia.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Comoros taking it.
  • Comoros have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Comoros, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Comoros Clean Sheet 20%
Namibia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comoros Namibia
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.96 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Comoros vs Namibia
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 FIFA Series
Namibia vs Comoros
1:0
Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Comoros vs Namibia
4:0
Nov 14, 2025 Friendly International
Comoros vs Namibia
1:0
Aug 4, 2019 African Nations Championship
Namibia vs Comoros
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comoros Compare

Top Goalscorer Youssouf B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Namibia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comoros 42 / 100
Namibia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comoros Namibia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comoros's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Namibia conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Namibia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Comoros VS Namibia
1 Goals Scored 0.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Comoros

(Home)
04 Oct
Comoros
0 : 1
Senegal
29 Sept
Comoros
1 : 0
Namibia
24 Sept
Cameroon
3 : 1
Comoros
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
Page 1 of 6

Namibia

(Away)
03 Oct
Russia
6 : 0
Namibia
29 Sept
Comoros
1 : 0
Namibia
24 Sept
Namibia
1 : 0
Congo
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
25 Mar
Kazakhstan
2 : 0
Namibia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)