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Comoros W vs Madagascar W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Madagascar W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Comoros W
20%
Draws
46%
Madagascar W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Madagascar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madagascar W come out ahead of Comoros W on wins alone.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Comoros W taking it.
  • Madagascar W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Madagascar W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Madagascar W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Comoros W Clean Sheet 10%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comoros W Madagascar W
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 6 7
Draws 2 3
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.37
Goals Conceded 4.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
Comoros W vs Madagascar W
1:5
Dec 8, 2016 Friendly International Women
Madagascar W vs Comoros W
4:0
Dec 5, 2016 Friendly International Women
Madagascar W vs Comoros W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comoros W 83 / 100
Madagascar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comoros W Madagascar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comoros W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Madagascar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 19 matches.

Attacking prowess: Comoros W scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Comoros W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comoros W VS Madagascar W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Comoros W

(Home)
08 Jun
Comoros W
13 : 0
Sudan W
04 Jun
Sudan W
0 : 17
Comoros W
16 Apr
Tunisia W
2 : 1
Comoros W
14 Apr
Benin W
2 : 0
Comoros W
07 Apr
Lebanon W
4 : 0
Comoros W
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Madagascar W

(Away)
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
28 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 23:1 9
2 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 16:3 6
3 Madagascar W 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Comoros W 3 0 0 3 1:35 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 18:2 7
2 Botswana W 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
3 Namibia W 3 1 0 2 10:4 3
4 Mauritius W 3 0 0 3 0:26 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zimbabwe W 3 3 0 0 15:1 9
2 Eswatini W 3 2 0 1 7:8 6
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Mozambique W 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2019 (Play Offs)