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Compostela vs Alondras

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Maceira J.
50' Event
Parapar J.
67' Event
Maceira J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Compostela and Alondras finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Compostela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Compostela
20%
Draws
44%
Alondras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Compostela carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Compostela a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Compostela have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Compostela Clean Sheet 68%
Alondras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Compostela Alondras
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 13 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.61 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Alondras
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Compostela
0:2
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Alondras
1:0
Aug 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Compostela
1:4
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Alondras
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Compostela Compare

Top Goalscorer Maceira J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Parapar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alondras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Compostela 59 / 100
Alondras 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Compostela Alondras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Compostela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Compostela scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Alondras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Compostela went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Compostela VS Alondras
1.63 Goals Scored 1.4
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Compostela

(Home)
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2
Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
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Alondras

(Away)
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)