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Concarneau vs Aubagne FC

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Tlili K.
25'
Jannez G.
45'
El Kaddouri B.

AI Match Summary

Concarneau in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concarneau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Concarneau
28%
Draws
22%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Aubagne FC have won more games recently than Concarneau.
  • Concarneau are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Aubagne FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Aubagne FC
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Concarneau
1:1
Jan 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Concarneau
0:2
Aug 30, 2024 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Aubagne FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 59 / 100
Aubagne FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Aubagne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Concarneau's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Concarneau has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Aubagne FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Aubagne FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
09 May
Caen
0 : 0
Concarneau
30 Apr
Concarneau
0 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
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Aubagne FC

(Away)
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
09 May
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
01 May
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Stade Briochin
24 Apr
Rouen
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)