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Concarneau vs Guingamp II

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
62' Event

AI Match Summary

Concarneau in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concarneau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Concarneau
20%
Draws
23%
Guingamp II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Concarneau have won more games recently than Guingamp II.
  • Model gives Concarneau a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 19%
Guingamp II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Guingamp II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 2
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.26 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Guingamp II
0:0
Aug 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Guingamp II
2:1
Apr 14, 2007 National 2 - Group D
Guingamp II vs Concarneau
1:0
Nov 11, 2006 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Guingamp II
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 85 / 100
Guingamp II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Guingamp II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guingamp II conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Concarneau found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Concarneau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0
Villefranche
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1
Concarneau
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
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Guingamp II

(Away)
09 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 1
Guingamp II
18 May
Guingamp II
2 : 3
Saint-Malo
11 May
Racing Club de France
2 : 0
Guingamp II
27 Apr
Guingamp II
2 : 2
AF Virois
20 Apr
Beauvais
0 : 3
Guingamp II
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