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Concarneau vs Lorient

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Katseris P.
50' Event
Cruce-Corcy N.
58' Event
Tosin A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Concarneau and Lorient finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorient.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Concarneau
15%
Draws
46%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 14%
Lorient Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Lorient
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.31 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Lorient
1:2
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Lorient vs Concarneau
0:0
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Lorient
3:3
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Lorient vs Concarneau
1:0
Jul 9, 2021 Club Friendly
Lorient vs Concarneau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concarneau Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruce-Corcy N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lorient Compare

Top Goalscorer Katseris P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 35 / 100
Lorient 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concarneau's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lorient's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Concarneau stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Lorient
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
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Lorient

(Away)
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
04 Aug
Lorient
5 : 1
UNFP
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0
Nantes
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
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