Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concarneau vs Lorient - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Katseris P.
50' Event
Cruce-Corcy N.
58' Event
Tosin A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Concarneau and Lorient finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorient.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Concarneau
35%
Draws
20%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Concarneau have produced (1.3).
  • Model gives Concarneau a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 19%
Lorient Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Lorient
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Lorient
1:2
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Lorient vs Concarneau
0:0
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Lorient
3:3
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Lorient vs Concarneau
1:0
Jul 9, 2021 Club Friendly
Lorient vs Concarneau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concarneau Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruce-Corcy N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Lorient Compare

Top Goalscorer Katseris P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 67 / 100
Lorient 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Concarneau stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Concarneau's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Lorient let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Lorient
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
Page 1 of 7

Lorient

(Away)
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
Page 1 of 6